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Reliability

Our current analysis and methodology for the individuals not in business income tax gap for 2021–22.

Published 31 October 2024

We seek feedback and advice about how we estimate the gap from our external and internal subject matter experts. Based on the advice, the reliability rating for this estimate is high with a score of 21.

The estimate draws on the results from the random enquiry program. It looks at all items on an income tax return and the taxpayer information we have received. Non-payment is also addressed. The gap has not materially moved between years, giving us confidence in the results we are seeing.

Figure 7: Reliability rating scale from very low to very high – individuals not in business income tax gap

Bar graph showing the reliability rating of high for the current individuals not in business income tax gap estimate. The rating scale includes very low (1-10), low (11-15), medium (16-20), high (21-25), very high (26-30).

In April 2023 the Australian National Audit Office (ANAO) found the ATO 'is largely effective at identifying and reducing the tax gap for individuals not in business'. There were also 2 recommendations made by the ANAO directly relevant to the tax gap analysis. The ATO has implemented these recommendations.

More detail can be found in Identifying and reducing the tax gap for individuals not in businessExternal Link.

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