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Reliability

How we make sure the tax gap estimate is reliable.

Published 30 October 2023

We seek feedback and advice about how we estimate the gap from our external and internal subject matter experts. Based on the advice, the reliability rating for this estimate is medium with a score of 20.

As with all gap estimates, the tobacco tax gap estimate remains sensitive to our assumptions. We will continue to monitor and test the overall approach as we improve it in future releases.

Figure 4: Reliability rating scale from very low to very high – tobacco tax gap

 "Figure 4: This image shows a graph that represents the reliability rating for the current tobacco tax gap estimate. The rating scale includes:
-          Very low, which is a score between 0 and 10
-          Low, which is a score between 11 and 15
-          Medium, which is a score between 16 and 20
-          High, which is a score between 21 and 25
-          Very high, which is a score between 26 and 30.
The graph shows the current tobacco tax gap estimate has a rating of 20, which is medium."

QC55324