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Reliability

How we make sure the tax gap estimate is reliable.

Published 30 October 2024

We seek feedback and advice about how we estimate the gap from our external and internal subject matter experts. Based on the advice and assessment, the reliability rating for this estimate is medium with a score of 17, which is one point below the previously published score.

We have stratified the sampling process to ensure it is representative of the wider population.

We engage former Deputy President of the Administrative Appeals Tribunal, Mr Stephen Frost, for further assurance. He verifies the accuracy and quality of a sample of the audit results that underpin our tax gap estimate.

Figure 6: Reliability rating scale from very low to very high – small business income tax gap

The reliability rating for the current small business income tax gap estimate. The rating scale includes:
- Very low, which is a score between 0 and 10
- Low, which is a score between 11 and 15
- Medium, which is a score between 16 and 20 
- High, which is a score between 21 and 25
- Very high, which is a score between 26 and 30.
The graph shows the current small business income tax gap estimate has a rating of 17, which is medium.

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